ovid-19 cases are falling in 30 out of 32 London borough areas and are hitting Tier 1-type levels in a swathe of the city centre, official figures reveal today.
They show 22 boroughs saw a drop of at least a fifth in confirmed cases in the week to November 24, compared to the previous seven days.
In central London, so crucial for Britain’s economy, Westminster has seen its rate nudge just below 100 new cases a week (99.9) per 100,000 population, which was a level used as one of the trigger thresholds for previously moving areas from Tier 1 to Tier 2.
In Camden, the rate is 84.1, in Southwark 104.8, in Islington 114.7, Kensington & Chelsea 117.2 and Lambeth 119.9.
Only two boroughs are seeing rises, and they are very small, with Redbridge’s cases up 1.5 per cent and Waltham Forest’s 0.5 per cent.
The rate for London as a whole fell to 158.3 on November 24, down from what looks increasingly like the second wave peak around ten days earlier of 199.4.
The figures strengthened the case for London being put in Tier 2, rather than Tier 3, as will happen on Wednesday, meaning restaurants and many pubs will be able to re-open, though they will only be able to serve alcohol with a substantial meal.
Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove reportedly strongly advocated at a crunch meeting last Wednesday that the whole capital should go into the most draconian restrictions.
However, other Cabinet ministers made the case for Tier 2 for London which has not seen cases rise as fast and high as many cities and towns in the North and Midlands during the second wave.
Boris Johnson is said to have intervened saying he had listened to Mr Gove but that the Government needed to consider the economic impact of Tier 3 on the capital, the powerhouse of the UK’s economy, and came down in favour of Tier 2.
A spokesman for Mr Gove declined to comment on “private Cabinet committee discussions”.
Mr Gove is understood to fully support the committee’s conclusions.
Some MPs, whose areas are in Tier 2 or 3, many having been moved up a tier and some even two, are complaining that London has been given prefential treatment.
However, the latest decline in cases appears to point even more strongly toward Tier 2 for the capital, especially as its network of hospitals is better able to cope with a rise in Covid admissions in coming months than those in many other cities.
Health Secretary Matt Hancock, though, has put the capital on notice that it could be moved into Tier 3 if Londoners flout social distancing and self-isolation rules and cases start to rise.
The real number of cases is believed to be several times higher than the total of confirmed cases.
The official figures show that in the seven days to November 24, there were 320 confirmed cases in Wandsworth, down 239 (42.8 per cent) with a rate of 97.1, in Camden 227 cases, down 112 (33 per cent) with a rate of 84.1, Hammersmith & Fulham cases 244, down 114 (31.8 per cent) with a rate of 131.8, Westminster 261 cases, down 120 (31.5 per cent) with a rate of 99.9, Sutton 253 cases, down 116 (31.4 per cent) with a rate of 122.6, Hackney and City of London 381 cases, down 153 (28.7 per cent) with a rate of 131, Lewisham 280 cases, down 112 (28.6 per cent) with a rate of 91.6, Havering cases 746, down 287 (27.8 per cent) with a rate of 287.4.
Bromley 416 cases, down 142 (25.4 per cent) with a rate of 125.2, Richmond 174 cases, down 59 (25.3 per cent) with a rate of 87.9, Kingston 257 cases, down 81 (24 per cent) with a rate of 144.8, Bexley 529 cases, down 165 (23.8 per cent) with a rate of 213.1, and Harrow 375 cases, down 116 (23.6 per cent) with a rate of 149.3.
Islington saw 278 cases, down 85 (23.4 per cent) with a rate of 114.7, Kensington & Chelsea 183 cases, down 56 (23.4 per cent) with a rate of 117.2, Hillingdon 530 cases, down 161 (23.3 per cent) with a rate of 172.7, Ealing 655 cases, down 192 (22.7 per cent) with a rate of 191.6, Barnet 549 cases, down 155 (22 per cent) with a rate of 138.7, Lambeth 391 cases, down 106 (21.3 per cent) with a rate of 119.9,
Merton 307 cases, down 82 (21.1 per cent) with a rate of 148.6, Tower Hamlets 668 cases, down 174 (20.7 per cent) with a rate of 205.7,Greenwich 462 cases, down 117 (20.2 per cent) with a rate of 160.4, Enfield 634 cases, down 137 (17.8 per cent) with a rate of 189.9,
Brent 582 cases, down 122 (17.3 per cent) with a rate of 176.5, Haringey 334 cases, down 60 (15.2 per cent) with a rate of 124.3, Croydon 550 cases, down 94 (14.6 per cent) with a rate of 142.2, Hounslow 479 cases, down 78 (14 per cent) with a rate of 176.4, Southwark 334 cases, down 38 (10.2 per cent) with a rate of 104.8, Barking and Dagenham 527 cases, down 43 (7.5 per cent) with a rate of 247.5, and Newham 771 cases, down six (0.8 per cent) with a rate of 218.3.
Redbridge had 901 cases, up 13 (1.5 per cent) with a rate of 295.2 and Waltham Forest 587 cases, up three (0.5 per cent) with a rate of 211.9.